Europos lyčių lygybės institutas
Europos lyčių lygybės institutas

Economic case for gender equality in the EU

A more gender equal EU would have strong, positive GDP impacts growing over time, higher level of employment and productivity and could respond to challenges related to the ageing population in the EU. 

GDP Per capita

Gender equality has strong, positive impacts on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita which grow over time.

By 2050, improving gender equality would lead to an increase in EU (GDP) per capita by 6.1 to 9.6%, which amounts to €1.95 to €3.15 trillion.

Compared with labour market and education policies, gender equality policies have a strong impact on GDP. For example, a recent study showed that improvements in educational attainment across EU Member States would lead to a 2.2% increase in EU GDP in 2050 (DG EAC, 2016).

Effect of gender equality on GDP per capita

  • 2020
  • 2030
  • 2040
  • 2050

Improvement in GDP per capita
between 0.5% and 0.7%

Improvement in GDP per capita
between 1.5% and 2.2%

Improvement in GDP per capita
between 3.4% and 5.2%

Improvement in GDP per capita
between 6.1% and 9.6%

Improvement in GDP
between €1.95 and €3.15 trillion

  • Slow progress

    Modelling scenario

    • Closure of gender gap in computing by 2-14 %; closure of gender gap in engineering by 4-12 %
    • 0-13 % reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030
    • 0-5 % reduction in the gender pay gap by 2030
    • 0-5 % increase in fertility rate by 2030
  • Rapid progress

    Modelling scenario

    • Closure of gender gap in computing by 5-14 %; closure of gender gap in engineering by 9-12 %
    • 0-20 % reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030
    • 0-14 % reduction in the gender pay gap by 2030
    • 0-8 % increase in fertility rate by 2030
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Employment

Improvements in gender equality would lead to an additional 10.5 million jobs in 2050, which would benefit both women and men.

About 70% of these jobs would be taken by women, however female and male employment rates meet in the long run, reaching an 80% employment rate by 2050.

New jobs occupied by women are particularly important as they can help to reduce poverty, one of the key priorities of the EU 2020 strategy. Women are generally affected by poverty more often than men because of lower employment and salary prospects. Hence, being in employment lowers the risk for poverty of women (EIGE, 2016).

Effect of gender equality on Employment

  • 2020
  • 2030
  • 2040
  • 2050

EU-28 Total Employment Rate (ages 20-64) increases to
between 71.11% and 71.20%

EU-28 Total Employment Rate (ages 20-64) increases to
between 75.54% and 75.84%

EU-28 Total Employment Rate (ages 20-64) increases to
between 77.25% and 77.96%

EU-28 Total Employment Rate (ages 20-64) increases to
between 78.36% and 79.77%

In 2050, the size of the EU labour force increases by 23 million

  • Slow progress

    Modelling scenario

    • Closure of gender gap in computing by 2-14 %; closure of gender gap in engineering by 4-12 %
    • 0-13 % reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030
    • 0-5 % reduction in the gender pay gap by 2030
    • 0-5 % increase in fertility rate by 2030
  • Rapid progress

    Modelling scenario

    • Closure of gender gap in computing by 5-14 %; closure of gender gap in engineering by 9-12 %
    • 0-20 % reduction in the activity rate gap by 2030
    • 0-14 % reduction in the gender pay gap by 2030
    • 0-8 % increase in fertility rate by 2030
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EU Member States

The estimated GDP impacts of increased gender equality vary considerably across Member States, depending on the present level of achievement of gender equality.

Countries with more room to improve gender equality have much to gain. On average, improved gender equality in these countries is expected to lead to an increase in GDP of about 12% by 2050.

The best performing countries in the area of gender equality have already achieved good levels of gender equality and therefore already enjoy some of the associated economic benefits. However, further improvements in gender equality can generate additional economic gains even in these Member States, often reaching around 4% of GDP. 

Overall, improved gender equality could boost the long-term competitiveness of the EU economy. By 2050, exports are estimated to increase by about 0.7% whereas imports are forecast to decline by up to 1.2%, leading to an improved balance of trade.

Impact of gender equality in the GDP of EU Member States in 2030

EU Member states

The Member States have been grouped according to their current level of gender equality in the area of work as measured by the Gender Equality Index published by EIGE.

  • Group 1 comprises the Member States with the lowest levels of gender equality;
  • Group 2 comprises the Member States with medium levels of gender equality; and
  • Group 3 comprises the Member States with the highest levels of gender equality

Downloads

Economic Benefits of Gender Equality in the European Union: Overall economic impacts of gender equality
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Economic Benefits of Gender Equality in the European Union: Report on the empirical application of the model
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